Today its an axiom that life is changing and that technology is affecting the nature of society. But whats not fully understood is that the pace of change is itself accelerating, and the last 20 years are not a good guide to the next 20 years. Were doubling the paradigm shift rate, the rate of progress, every decade. This will actually match the amount of progress we made in the whole 20th century, because weve been accelerating up to this point. The 20th century was like 25 years of change at todays rate of change. In the next 25 years well make four times the progress you saw in the 20th century. And well make 20,000 years of progress in the 21st century, which is almost a thousand times more technical change than we saw in the 20th century.
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge99.html
Friday, April 19, 2002
Popular Posts
-
I've learned a great many things over the past month... "friends" at work are not neccessarily friends, people you thought wer...
-
Brad Dalton is the first to admit his theory is far-fetched: that bacteria could account for odd light emissions, as well as the reddish hue...
-
Lots of funny stuff today. Tim, check this one. http://www.penny-arcade.com/view.php3
-
Some interesting tidbits about Lynchs Mulholland Drive , as well as David Bowies next movie apperance. http://www.crowdsurfer.com/index.php3...
-
We see it doing its thing, starting to fight against ordinary gravity, Adam Riess of the Space Telescope Science Institute said about the ...
-
I'm always fascinated by ways to get stuff done, particularly at work. It's changed quite a bit since I've been in my current r...
-
Let me make this clear. This is a long book. Weighing in at just under one thousand pages and probably a pound and a half this book takes ...
-
Looks like a sweet FPS for Linux... and it's team based like Counter Strike. If it's good, Hiyat's going to kill me. It took...
-
Good, good movie in every sense of the term. 8/10. http://www.newvoyages.com